Get the appA Newspoll has the Victorian Coalition leading Labor 55–45 on a two-party basis, a month before the November 28 state election. The poll would give the Coalition a majority of lower house seats. Labor's primary vote fell to 24 per cent. Ben Carroll's net approval as Labor leader and premier was -28, an 18-point improvement on Jacinta Allan, while Liberal leader Jess Wilson's rose to +10. Wilson also led Carroll as preferred premier, 48–34.
Victorian Liberal leader Jess Wilson says she is not taking a new poll for granted, even though it shows the Coalition ahead of Labor a month before the state election. The Newspoll gives the Coalition 33 per cent of the primary vote, Labor 24 per cent and One Nation 20 per cent. Wilson says she must still earn voters' trust and that the state needs urgent fixes, including repairs to roads and more police. If the Coalition forms a majority government, Wilson has pledged to recall Parliament on Christmas Eve to pass tougher bail and sentencing laws.
The latest Newspoll suggests the Coalition is set to end Labor's 12-year rule in Victoria, with Opposition Leader Jess Wilson leading by a 55-45 margin. Primary voting appears more fragmented, with One Nation, Labor, the Greens, and the Coalition each securing significant support. Political scientist Zareh Ghazarian warns that Labor's leadership change may have weakened their position, citing historical examples of unsuccessful mid-term transitions. The incumbent government has faced public criticism over COVID-19 lockdowns and construction industry corruption allegations. These factors contribute to the challenging environment for Labor ahead of the upcoming election.